Observational study design and causal inference
The organising idea is the target trial: state the randomised trial that would answer the question, then make explicit every respect in which the observational study departs from it. Most classic design errors are departures that were never noticed.
- Estimands, and stating the quantity to be estimated precisely
- Target trial emulation on a worked example
- Immortal time, prevalent user and depletion of susceptibles bias
- Propensity scores, weighting and overlap; the limits of matching
- Time-varying exposure and confounding
- Quantitative bias analysis and negative controls